Image - a line graph that represents a price variation over time

News Prediction Markets

Predict election outcomes and Trump’s exit date on the Fairlay news section. Bet on the Game of Thrones characters using Bitcoins and be crowned with the Iron Throne. Forecast anything; from entertainment to politics and win big!

Who will be chancellor of Germany on Dec. 31, 2021?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the Chancellor of Germany upon the End Date listed below, according to the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source").

End Date: 12/31/2021 6:00 PM (ET).

Which parties will be in the next German coalition?



The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the parties that shall make up the first governing coalition of Germany subsequent to the next federal election.

A party shall be considered to be part of a governing coalition if a majority of its representatives in the Bundestag cast a vote in favor of the election of the next Chancellor of Germany subsequent to the next federal election.

For purposes of this market, any contract that references the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) shall also be considered to reference the Christian Social Union in Bavaria.

Supplementary Comment(s)

Created On: 09/02/2021 12:48 PM (ET)
In response to trader inquiry: The contract that resolves to Yes shall list all of the parties that make up the coalition, and only those parties.For example, if a contract lists only two parties and the coalition includes more than just those two, that contract will resolve as No.Potential coalitions may be added to this market as needed.

.

Who will win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

Which party will win the U.S. Senate election in Florida in 2022?

The winner of the 2022 Florida general election for U.S.Senate shall be the nominee of, or have a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference of, the party identified in the contract.Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.

live

Biden US President 2022

Will Joe Biden still be US President at the beginning of 2022?

Who will win the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the person who wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.president.Replacement of the nominee for any reason prior to election day will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

live

2024 United States Presidential Election: Which political party will win?

Which political party will win the 2024 presidential election in the USA? If there is any doubt as to the winner, it will be settled based on who is officially inaugurated and sworn in as president, whenever that takes place. Any political party other than the Democrats or Republicans will be considered as "third party." In the unlikely event there is no winner, bet will resolve for third party.

live

Will Joe Biden Complete his first term as President?

Will Joe Biden complete atleast 1 term as US President. For this market to resolve in "Yes" Biden must be inauguarated as US President in January 2021 and remain US President until the end of the term in January 2025. All other outcomes end in "No"

US Midterm Senate Election 2022 Winning Party

Which party Democrats or Republicans will hold a majority in the Senate after the 2022 midtrm elections?

US Midterm House Election 2022 Winning Party

Which party Democrats or Republicans will hold a majority in the House of Representatives after the 2022 midtrm elections?

How many COVID Deaths in the US in 2022?

This market is meant to predict the total number of deaths atributed to COVID in the US from the beginning of January 1st 2022 until the end of December 31st 2022. The website https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us will be used to measure final results. If this site is unavailabe the CDC will be used as the source.

live

Will Kamala Harris still be VP of USA on Nov 1st 2024?

Kamala Harris is currently Vice President of the United States. This bet is weather she will serve her full term or no longer be Vice President using the date of November 1st 2024 as a deadline. Reguardless of reason she leaves position this market resolves No if she is not VP on the stated date.

US Presidental Election 2024 Winning Party Democrats

Will the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential Election? This market resolves yes if the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential Election held in Novemeber 2024. It will resolve No if the Democrats do not win the Election.

BET POSITION
Trollbox/Support