Democrats Party presidential nominee

Who will run for the Democrats for president in the 2016 election.

The Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016 will take place in the 50 states, the District of Columbia and U.S. territories prior to the 2016 general election to determine the Democratic Party's nominee for the Presidency of the United States. Incumbent president and 2012 nominee Barack Obama is ineligible for reelection, due to term limits under the Twenty-second Amendment.


Total predictions: 16

Total placed: 2,148.00 mBTC

Unmatched: 1,188.00 mBTC

Closing in: 1 year, 2 months from now

Republican Party presidential nominee

Who will be elected to be the Republican Party presidential nominee for the 2016 US presidential election?

This market will be settled on the candidate voted to be the Republican Party nominee as a result of the 2016 Republican National Convention.


Total predictions: 16

Total placed: 3,679.00 mBTC

Unmatched: 3,679.00 mBTC

Closing in: 1 year, 2 months from now

MtGox will find 50,000 more BTC

In this stament MtGox announced that they are in possession and control of 202,000 Bitcoin. This event will resolve to yes if they or a entity representing MtGox releases a new statement before the time of resolution that they control more than 250,000 BTC.

Total predictions: 110

Total placed: 716.56 mBTC

Unmatched: 568.13 mBTC

Closing in: 2 months from now

Bitfinex will lose at least 1 Mio USD worth of customer funds till 2016

If several customers file legimate claims against Bitfinex over 1,000,000 USD and Bitfinex cannot pay until end of January 2016, this bet resolves to "yes".

Total predictions: 18

Total placed: 797.46 mBTC

Unmatched: 720.95 mBTC

Closing in: 8 months, 1 week from now

Hillary Clinton next President

Hillary Clinton will be elected to be the next President of the United States of America as a result of the 2016 presidential election.

This market will be settled according to the projected Electoral College votes won at the 2016 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the outcome of this market. In the event that no Presidential candidate receives a majority of the projected Electoral College votes, this market will be settled on the person chosen as President in accordance with the procedures set out by the Twelfth Amendment to the United States Constitution. This market will be resolve to "No" if an election does not take place in 2016. If more than one election takes place in 2016, then this market will apply to the first election that is held.

Total predictions: 19

Total placed: 1,037.15 mBTC

Unmatched: 835.01 mBTC

Closing in: 1 year, 6 months from now

CIA operative indicted over torture

At least one CIA employee or operative will be indicted either in the US or in the International Court of Justice in The Hague over the post 9/11 torture incidents.

Total predictions: 56

Total placed: 220.84 mBTC

Unmatched: 103.21 mBTC

Closing in: 2 months from now

Will at least one country drop the Euro within 2015?

Considered fulfilled if one of Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, or Lithuania decides to drop the Euro as official currency until 2016-01-01. Countries like Andorra or Saint-Barthélemy are ignored.

Total predictions: 20

Total placed: 478.82 mBTC

Unmatched: 156.44 mBTC

Closing in: 8 months, 1 week from now

Mark Karpeles charged criminal offense

Mark Karpeles is charged with a criminal offense related to the operation of MtGox.

Total predictions: 102

Total placed: 111.00 mBTC

Unmatched: 109.71 mBTC

Closing in: 2 months from now

MtGox an inside Job?

This event will resolve to "yes" if at least one former employee is charged with a crime in either the United States or Japan related to MtGox's demise and the missing bitcoins/ money.

The prediction resolves to "yes" as soon as an official source makes the charge public. Otherwise it will resolve to "no" at the date of resolution.

Total predictions: 29

Total placed: 277.97 mBTC

Unmatched: 173.76 mBTC

Closing in: 1 month from now

SuperNET in top 5 of coinmarketcap before 2016

The NXT asset SuperNET/Token will have a market cap that is greater or equal to the market cap listed on place five on coinmarketcap.com before 2016.
This event will resolve to "yes" as soon as the market cap calculated of SuperNet is in the top five for a week in a row. The market cap is calculated for each day based on the average price. At least one of the seven consecutive days needs to have a trading volume of an equivalent of >$10,000. Otherwise this event will resolve to no on the date of resolution.

Fairlay will resolve this event in a constructive way. If coinmarketcap.com does not exist at the time of resolution or does not provide reliable information, Fairlay will use another appropriate source.

Total predictions: 9

Total placed: 175.00 mBTC

Unmatched: 72.77 mBTC

Closing in: 8 months, 1 week from now


Viktor Troicki vs. Victor Estrella Burgos - Match Over/Under 20

Unmatched: 12,264.24 mBTC

Closing in: 5 hours from now

Mikhail Youzhny vs. Thomaz Bellucci - Match Spread for HomeTeam 1.5

Unmatched: 22,822.25 mBTC

Closing in: 3 hours from now

Closing Soon

* percentage not backed by a prediction